So far, there seems to be this ludicrous idea that there is going to be a bevy of Quarterbacks flying off the board despite the large consensus that this class of passers is anything less than starter-worthy. Names such as Patrick Mahomes and Davis Webb have (seemingly) shot up the draft boards of clubs across the league, while the stocks of big names such as Deshaun Watson and Deshone Kizer have seen a slow decline. My take? Is that there is a lot of smoke-screen being thrown around the NFL right now, and that’s all going to clear come Draft Day. So here’s my prediction of the top five quarterbacks who will come off the board first.
Mitch Trubisky- Cleveland Browns (#8 Overall-Projected trade with Carolina)
It would be foolish for the Browns to reach for a quarterback with the number one overall pick. And, to be honest, I think it’s a reach to take ANY of these guys in the first. However, this is a mock of what I think is going to happen. And what I think is going to happen, is that the Browns will use some of that extra draft capital (specifically, the 33rd overall pick, but we’ll get to that later) to move ahead of Buffalo, who are reportedly very fond of the NC passer, and grab the next contestant for their annual QB Survivor Challenge. Which, let’s be honest, most of us would rather watch over last season’s Hard Knocks.
Personally, I don’t think the Browns are in a position with their roster to support the development of a potential franchise savior. Despite a moderately improved offensive line and receiving corps, their defense still lacks the quality fire power to keep games within reach (although that could easily change with the addition of Myles Garrett, the projected number one pick).
What would be best, is for the Browns to focus spending their picks on instant plug-and-play players. Guys who can step on the field day one and instantly make their team better. A prospect like TE O.J Howard, who some other analysts are currently mocking at Cleveland’s current number twelve spot, would be a good choice, as he would give whoever’s under center for Cleveland a big bodied threat over the middle and in the red-zone.
There is also the possibility that Trubisky is off the board by this point. San Francisco could easily decide to snag him with the number two overall pick. But new Head Coach Kyle Shannahan might want to wait and see how the Kirk Cousins situation resolves itself before making any big decisions.
Deshaun Watson- Kansas City Chiefs (#27 Overall)
After the Texans’ pick at 25 has come and gone, the Patrick Mahomes hype will finally be revealed as the typical yearly draft trope it was all along. With this pick, each side is getting a win-win for the long term. Kansas City lays itself a foundation for a post-Alex Smith future, while Watson is able to sit and develop the skills that give him such immense potential.
Despite showing time and again he has the ability to win on the big stage, scouts have continually knocked Watson for his accuracy issues, particularly on the deep ball. Andy Reid’s offense could maximize Watson’s athleticism and decent accuracy on short and intermediate throws the same way it did for Smith. If Watson is still on the board at this point, there’s no reason why GM John Doresy shouldn’t pull the trigger.
Patrick Mahomes- Arizona Cardinals (Round 2, Pick 1: Trade with Carolina)
Although the Panthers are not expected to be major players in this year’s draft, if the dominoes fall just right, this is a move that could go a long way in helping Coach Rivera set his team up to be contenders for years to come through building up more home-grown roster depth. Assuming the Browns send this pick to Carolina (along with the 12th overall and a fourth rounder) to move up for Trubisky, the Panthers could cash in on even more picks by moving down twelve spots to allow the Cardinals to select their heir to Carson Palmer.
Despite what seemed like a fast climb up the draft boards of many clubs, the overall shaky nature of the class as a whole, along with his label as a ‘project player’, will inevitably scare many GMs off from taking the Texas Tech Air-Raid general in the top thirty-two. However, the vertical nature of Bruce Arian’s offense and the presence of Palmer for at least one more year will provide a stable environment for the rookie to learn the nuances of the game’s most important position.
Note: Look for the Texans to also be a possibility into trading up to this spot.
Deshone Kizer- New Orleans Saints (Round 2, Pick 10)
I had a little trouble projecting this pick. I personally think Kizer has the highest ceiling out of anybody in this draft, and I definitely can’t see him falling past the second round. There is a ton of secondary help the Saints could pick up here, and that may very well end up being the case. However, the presence of an extra first round pick via the Brandin Cooks to Patriots trade might make them a little bit more open to the possibility.
Although Drew Brees continues to drink from the same Fountain of Youth frequented by Tom Brady and James Harrison, it’s an inevitable fact that at some point, he won’t be throwing for 5,000+ yards anymore, and the Saints need a contingency plan, especially now that they’re starting to develop such a young core of talented players. If the Saints develop Kizer properly over a span of two to three years while Brees finishes off his career, they can have a starting caliber passer with at least two more years on his rookie deal while they work out extensions for wide-receivers Michael Thomas and Willie Snead.
Nathan Peterman- Washington (Round 3, Pick 16)
Although the Washington brass has been singing the praises of sixth-round draft pick Nate Sudfeld as of late, the uncertainty surrounding the future of Kirk Cousins should put some sense of urgency on finding a prospect who can potentially develop into a starter.
Peterman has been one of those names who, unlike Davis Webb and Deshone Kizer, hasn’t been floated around the first-round conversation in what’s been deemed an underwhelming class of rookie passers. Though some teams have noted his ability to throw with good touch and timing make him an interesting target, his obvious lack of field-stretching arm strength makes it uncertain whether he will be able to serve as a starter at the next level.
Still, with Colt McCoy under contract for two more years and a roster that’s just about ready to compete, Washington should take a serious look at drafting a QB early.
Just Outside the Top 5:
Joshua Dobbs: Houston Texans (Round 3, 89 Overall): The intelligence and diligent work ethic of the former Tennessee QB make him a chop-licking pick for Bill O’Brien.
Davis Webb: New York Jets (Round 3, 107 Overall): The smug look on Webb’s cocky face finally gets wiped off by the end of the second round. Webb will battle with Hack’ and Petty for the right to backup Josh McCown.
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Penguin Tundra Sports Blog was created in 2016 by a very bored college student who was obsessed with Rugby and Football. That same college student knew how to write pseudo-intelligently, so what better way to show off than to create a blog. Along your journey though the Tundra's domain, you may come across outlandish opinions, horrible spelling errors, and some shit that is just outright wrong. Well then, you should comment, give my blog more attention, and we will have our day in internet court. Otherwise, I hope you enjoy talking about sports as much as I do.
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